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The 2006
Updates: Toyota and Honda Account for 4 Most Durable Vehicle Lines; General
Motors - 4 of 10 Worst: Will a Typical Toyota or Honda 1998 Model Be More
Trouble Free at 20 Years of Age Than a Typical 1998 GM Model at 3?
Auto on Info September 2006
The 2006 Updates: Toyota and Honda Account for 4 Most Durable Vehicle Lines; General Motors - 4 of 10 Worst: Will a Typical Toyota or Honda 1998 Model Be More Trouble Free at 20 Years of Age Than a Typical 1998 GM Model at 3?
By James B. Bleeker
The following table and charts summarize the durability of the 1998 motor vehicle models by Toyota Motor Corporation and Honda Motor Company, as measured by the Reliability Score. Our first table provides two sets of Reliability Score averages for the auto manufacturers and motor vehicle lines for which data are available. The first set is for when the 1998 vehicles were between the ages of 2 and 4 years and the second set is for when the 1998 vehicles were between the ages of 6 and 8 years. In addition, the table provides the change in these averages from the first age set to the second.
Note that the Reliability Score averages for Toyota's and Honda's lines at the age range 6-to-8 years substantially exceeds the averages for the lines of the Big Three - General Motors Corporation, Ford Motor Company, and the Chrysler Group of DaimlerChrysler AG - at the age range of 2-to-4 years.
The following chart depicts the above changes in Reliability Score averages for each of the auto manufacturers.
The next chart depicts the changes in Reliability Score averages for each of the motor vehicle lines.
The next chart depicts the Reliability Score averages for each of the motor vehicle lines for the age range 6-to-8 years.
Here we see that Toyota's and Honda's lines occupy the top 4 positions and GM lines occupy 4 of the bottom 10 positions.
One of the interesting questions is: When will a typical 1998 Toyota model be as troublesome as a typical 1998 General Motors model at ages 2-to-4 years? The following chart helps shed some light on this query.
This chart suggests that a typical 1998 Toyota model may, at about 20 years old, be more reliable than a typical 1998 General Motors vehicle at about 3 years old, although a used-car buyer should be very hesitant in relying entirely on the accuracy of such a long-term extrapolation and should always be cognizant of the possibility that one or more previous owners or users may have abused a vehicle in one or more significant ways. For additional durability information, see the durability pages. Also, for some advisories, see Cautionary Remarks.
The next chart helps shed light on the query: When will a typical 1998 Honda model be as troublesome as a typical 1998 General Motors model at ages 2-to-4 years?
This chart suggests that a typical 1998 Honda model may, at about 25 years old, be more reliable than a typical 1998 General Motors vehicle at about 3 years old, subject to the same caveats noted above.
Some interesting remaining queries are: How have the extrapolations of the two preceding charts changed, if at all, in more recent years? As the data accumulate, will an extrapolation of the extrapolation intersections give us a good indication as to whether a typical 2010 Toyota or Honda model at age 20 years may be more reliable than a typical GM model at age 3 years?
With regard to the latter query, it would be very useful if Consumer Reports were to extend its questionnaire and reliability table coverage to at least 12 years from its current 8 years.
Sources: Auto on Info data banks
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Errors initially occurred in the x-axis title of the last two graphs. The x-axis titles have been corrected.
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